Arborlook
Risk & Response
by Arborlook Insights

Lincoln County, CO

Community risk profile | NRI Score: 67.5 Relatively High

5,550
Population
6
Departments
14
Stations
2
Census Tracts

Natural Hazard Loss Profile

Expected annual loss across the 18 natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Life safety is expressed in fatality-equivalents, combining expected deaths and injuries. Property loss counts building damage only, separate from agriculture.

Natural Hazard Life Safety
0.06
expected fatality-equivalents per year, natural hazards only
53rd highest of 64
Life Safety per 100k
1.16
natural hazard fatality-equivalents per 100,000 residents
38th highest of 64
Natural Hazard Property Loss
$2.9M
expected building loss per year, natural hazards only
46th highest of 64
Property Loss per Resident
$518
natural hazard building loss per resident per year
28th highest of 64

These figures cover natural hazards only. Structure fire, EMS, and motor vehicle incidents are not included in the National Risk Index and are not counted here, so this is not an all-cause life safety measure. For Lincoln County, the largest single contributor is Cold Wave, 44% of the life-safety total.

Lincoln County carries an expected under 1 natural hazard fatality-equivalents and $2.9M in building loss per year. Rank chips compare the 64 Colorado counties. Nationally, Lincoln County ranks 2860th of 3,222 U.S. counties for life-safety loss, 1443rd for life safety per 100k residents, 2725th for property loss, and 798th for property loss per resident. Computed from census tract data covering every resident, independent of fire department boundaries.

Add fire mortality, cause, and loss

Natural hazard exposure is one half of the picture. The other half is what your departments run on: fire deaths and injuries, cause of ignition, dollar loss per incident. That comes from NERIS incident reporting, and it grows as departments serving Lincoln County enroll. Our Regional tier brings it together across your jurisdiction, with participating departments, alongside response time analytics, cross-department benchmarking, and coverage gap analysis.

Talk to us about Lincoln County See what a department sees

What Drives the Loss

63%
19%
18%
Property (buildings): $2.9M (62.6%)
Life safety: $884K (19.3%)
Agriculture: $832K (18.1%)

Total expected annual loss: $4,587,986 per year. Life safety is shown here in dollars, at FEMA's $13.7M value of statistical life, so the three shares sum to the total.

Agriculture is 18% of expected annual loss in Lincoln County, so total loss overstates property loss here. The property figure above counts building loss only.

Hazards Ranked Two Ways

The hazard that threatens people is often not the hazard that destroys buildings. Both columns cover the same 18 hazards over the same year.

By life-safety loss ($/yr)

Cold Wave
$392K
Strong Wind
$255K
Tornado
$91K
Lightning
$66K
Winter Weather
$55K
Heat Wave
$7K

By property loss ($/yr)

Inland Flooding
$2.1M
Tornado
$329K
Hail
$267K
Wildfire
$85K
Strong Wind
$71K
Earthquake
$24K

Census Tract Risk Map

Shaded by quintile across the census tracts in Lincoln County. Gray tracts have no modeled loss or no resident population. Per-resident figures on this map use the National Risk Index 2020 tract population.

Fire Service Profile

17%
83%
Combination: 17% (1)
Volunteer: 83% (5)
Residents per Station
396
census population per registered station
Stations per 100k
252.3
registered stations per 100,000 residents

Department composition covers the 6 departments registered in NERIS Public for Lincoln County, CO. Departments that have not registered are not counted. Station coverage divides census population by registered stations; department service areas overlap, so their populations are not summed.

Department Rankings

Fire and EMS departments serving Lincoln County. Click column headers to sort.

NRI Rating is from FEMA's National Risk Index, which measures community risk across 18 natural hazards using expected annual losses, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Life-Safety Loss uses FEMA's Value of Statistical Life ($13.7M per expected fatality) to estimate annual risk to human life.

Department boundaries and station counts are self-reported through NERIS Public and may not reflect current service areas. Population and Life-Safety Loss reflect each department's full jurisdiction. County-level risk metrics are computed from census tract data and are not affected by boundary accuracy. See full methodology.

Showing 6 departments
Department Est. Population Life-Safety Loss NRI Rating Stations
Ellicott Fire Protection District 36,125 $3.5M Relatively High 3
Hugo Volunteer Fire Department 9,863 $2.2M Relatively High 1
Tri-County Fire Protection District 11,267 $1.2M Relatively High 3
Flagler Rural Fire Protection District 4,799 $1.2M Very High 5
Limon Area Fire Protection District 7,557 $1.1M Relatively High 1
Northeast Lincoln Fire Protection District 2,227 $326.6K Very High 1
No departments match your search.

Risk Snapshot

9.8%
Poverty Rate
18.3%
Age 65+
17.4%
Disability Rate
7.6%
Uninsured
62.5%
Pre-1980 Housing
7.6%
Mobile Homes
17.3%
Vacancy Rate
1.6%
Wood Heat
$61,027
Median HH Income

FEMA Disaster Declarations

3
Last 10 Years
7
Last 25 Years
Flood
Most Frequent

Response-level intelligence for your region

Our Regional tier gives county fire authorities and state fire marshals rollup dashboards across all departments in your jurisdiction: response time analytics, cross-department benchmarking, and coverage gap analysis.

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