Arborlook
Risk & Response
by Arborlook Insights

Merced County, CA

Community risk profile | NRI Score: 67.8 Relatively High

290,201
Population
12
Departments
63
Stations
63
Census Tracts

Natural Hazard Loss Profile

Expected annual loss across the 18 natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Life safety is expressed in fatality-equivalents, combining expected deaths and injuries. Property loss counts building damage only, separate from agriculture.

Natural Hazard Life Safety
1.76
expected fatality-equivalents per year, natural hazards only
31st highest of 58
Life Safety per 100k
0.61
natural hazard fatality-equivalents per 100,000 residents
41st highest of 58
Natural Hazard Property Loss
$105.0M
expected building loss per year, natural hazards only
31st highest of 58
Property Loss per Resident
$362
natural hazard building loss per resident per year
48th highest of 58

These figures cover natural hazards only. Structure fire, EMS, and motor vehicle incidents are not included in the National Risk Index and are not counted here, so this is not an all-cause life safety measure. For Merced County, the largest single contributor is Earthquake, 70% of the life-safety total.

Merced County carries an expected 2 natural hazard fatality-equivalents and $105.0M in building loss per year. Rank chips compare the 58 California counties. Nationally, Merced County ranks 332nd of 3,222 U.S. counties for life-safety loss, 2373rd for life safety per 100k residents, 201st for property loss, and 1430th for property loss per resident. Computed from census tract data covering every resident, independent of fire department boundaries.

Add fire mortality, cause, and loss

Natural hazard exposure is one half of the picture. The other half is what your departments run on: fire deaths and injuries, cause of ignition, dollar loss per incident. That comes from NERIS incident reporting, and it grows as departments serving Merced County enroll. Our Regional tier brings it together across your jurisdiction, with participating departments, alongside response time analytics, cross-department benchmarking, and coverage gap analysis.

Talk to us about Merced County See what a department sees

What Drives the Loss

51%
12%
37%
Property (buildings): $105.0M (51.3%)
Life safety: $24.2M (11.8%)
Agriculture: $75.6M (36.9%)

Total expected annual loss: $204,766,039 per year. Life safety is shown here in dollars, at FEMA's $13.7M value of statistical life, so the three shares sum to the total.

Agriculture is 37% of expected annual loss in Merced County, so total loss overstates property loss here. The property figure above counts building loss only.

Hazards Ranked Two Ways

The hazard that threatens people is often not the hazard that destroys buildings. Both columns cover the same 18 hazards over the same year.

By life-safety loss ($/yr)

Earthquake
$17.0M
Heat Wave
$5.8M
Lightning
$690K
Inland Flooding
$383K
Wildfire
$118K
Tornado
$89K

By property loss ($/yr)

Inland Flooding
$57.8M
Earthquake
$45.4M
Wildfire
$1.4M
Tornado
$222K
Lightning
$49K
Strong Wind
$43K

Census Tract Risk Map

Shaded by quintile across the census tracts in Merced County. Gray tracts have no modeled loss or no resident population. Per-resident figures on this map use the National Risk Index 2020 tract population.

Fire Service Profile

25%
58%
17%
Career: 25% (3)
Combination: 58% (7)
Volunteer: 17% (2)
Residents per Station
4,606
census population per registered station
Stations per 100k
21.7
registered stations per 100,000 residents

Department composition covers the 12 departments registered in NERIS Public for Merced County, CA. Departments that have not registered are not counted. Station coverage divides census population by registered stations; department service areas overlap, so their populations are not summed.

Department Rankings

Fire and EMS departments serving Merced County. Click column headers to sort.

NRI Rating is from FEMA's National Risk Index, which measures community risk across 18 natural hazards using expected annual losses, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Life-Safety Loss uses FEMA's Value of Statistical Life ($13.7M per expected fatality) to estimate annual risk to human life.

Department boundaries and station counts are self-reported through NERIS Public and may not reflect current service areas. Population and Life-Safety Loss reflect each department's full jurisdiction. County-level risk metrics are computed from census tract data and are not affected by boundary accuracy. See full methodology.

Showing 12 departments
Department Est. Population Life-Safety Loss NRI Rating Stations
Merced County Fire Department 290,201 $24.2M Relatively High 19
Dos Palos Fire Department 218,182 $23.1M Relatively High 0
Gustine Volunteer Fire Department 218,182 $23.1M Relatively High 0
Hollister Fire Department 96,047 $20.0M Very High 4
San Benito County Fire Department 96,047 $20.0M Very High 1
Madera County Fire Department 97,595 $8.0M Very High 14
City Of Merced Fire Department 69,499 $5.5M Relatively High 5
Los Banos Fire Department 51,572 $4.7M Relatively High 2
West Stanislaus County Fire Protection District 41,764 $4.4M Relatively High 13
Turlock Rural Fire Protection District 14,692 $1.1M Very High 2
Atwater Fire Department 21,204 $884.4K Relatively Moderate 2
Denair Volunteer Fire Department 18,119 $806.4K Very High 1
No departments match your search.

Risk Snapshot

19.1%
Poverty Rate
11.7%
Age 65+
12.5%
Disability Rate
8.1%
Uninsured
41.2%
Pre-1980 Housing
6.2%
Mobile Homes
5.3%
Vacancy Rate
0.8%
Wood Heat
$70,426
Median HH Income

FEMA Disaster Declarations

8
Last 10 Years
11
Last 25 Years
Severe Storm
Most Frequent

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