Natural Hazard Loss Profile
Expected annual loss across the 18 natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Life safety is expressed in fatality-equivalents, combining expected deaths and injuries. Property loss counts building damage only, separate from agriculture.
These figures cover natural hazards only. Structure fire, EMS, and motor vehicle incidents are not included in the National Risk Index and are not counted here, so this is not an all-cause life safety measure. For Tennessee, the largest single contributor is Cold Wave, 30% of the life-safety total.
Tennessee carries an expected 86 natural hazard fatality-equivalents and $1.8B in building loss per year. Ranks compare all 50 states plus DC and Puerto Rico. Computed from census tract data covering every resident, independent of fire department boundaries.
Add fire mortality, cause, and loss
Natural hazard exposure is one half of the picture. The other half is what your departments run on: fire deaths and injuries, cause of ignition, dollar loss per incident. That comes from NERIS incident reporting, and it grows as departments in Tennessee enroll. Our Regional tier brings it together across your jurisdiction, with participating departments, alongside response time analytics, cross-department benchmarking, and coverage gap analysis.
Talk to us about Tennessee See what a department seesWhat Drives the Loss
Total expected annual loss: $3,004,305,920 per year. Life safety is shown here in dollars, at FEMA's $13.7M value of statistical life, so the three shares sum to the total.
Hazards Ranked Two Ways
The hazard that threatens people is often not the hazard that destroys buildings. Both columns cover the same 18 hazards over the same year.
By life-safety loss ($/yr)
By property loss ($/yr)
County Risk Map
Shaded by quintile across counties in this state. Click any county for its full profile.
Fire Service Profile
Department composition covers the 637 departments registered in NERIS Public for Tennessee. Departments that have not registered are not counted. The mix is computed over the departments NERIS registers to Tennessee; departments based elsewhere that respond into it are counted in the total above but not in the mix. Station coverage divides census population by registered stations; department service areas overlap, so their populations are not summed.
County Rankings
Counties in Tennessee ranked by risk. Click column headers to sort. Click a county to see its departments.
NRI Rating is from FEMA's National Risk Index, which measures community risk across 18 natural hazards using expected annual losses, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Life-Safety Loss uses FEMA's Value of Statistical Life ($13.7M per expected fatality) to estimate annual risk to human life.
Department and station counts are derived from boundaries self-reported through NERIS Public and may not reflect current service areas. A department serving several counties is counted in each, so the Departments column adds up to more than the statewide department total. Risk metrics are computed from census tract data and are not affected by boundary accuracy. See full methodology.
| County ▲ | Population ▲ | Departments ▲ | Life-Safety Loss ▼ | NRI Rating ▲ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shelby County | 919,173 | 11 | $239.3M | Relatively High |
| Davidson County | 715,388 | 3 | $60.6M | Relatively Moderate |
| Madison County | 99,295 | 12 | $52.2M | Very High |
| Rutherford County | 360,646 | 11 | $47.6M | Relatively High |
| Hamilton County | 376,192 | 20 | $40.0M | Relatively Moderate |
| Knox County | 494,148 | 5 | $39.4M | Relatively Low |
| Sumner County | 204,424 | 19 | $31.2M | Relatively High |
| Montgomery County | 234,153 | 7 | $31.1M | Relatively High |
| Henry County | 32,412 | 13 | $27.8M | Very High |
| Gibson County | 50,869 | 11 | $27.3M | Very High |
| Williamson County | 260,351 | 12 | $26.9M | Relatively Moderate |
| Maury County | 107,791 | 11 | $24.5M | Relatively High |
| Dyer County | 36,508 | 12 | $24.3M | Very High |
| Weakley County | 33,016 | 15 | $20.8M | Very High |
| Tipton County | 61,553 | 13 | $19.7M | Very High |
| Obion County | 30,453 | 9 | $19.2M | Very High |
| Wilson County | 158,805 | 10 | $18.5M | Relatively High |
| Carroll County | 28,641 | 13 | $16.0M | Very High |
| Fayette County | 43,267 | 10 | $14.8M | Very High |
| Bradley County | 111,065 | 5 | $12.9M | Relatively Moderate |
| Lawrence County | 45,385 | 18 | $12.7M | Relatively High |
| Henderson County | 27,980 | 5 | $11.9M | Very High |
| Hardin County | 27,249 | 7 | $11.4M | Very High |
| Lauderdale County | 24,784 | 13 | $11.2M | Relatively High |
| Putnam County | 82,558 | 11 | $9.9M | Relatively Moderate |
| Bedford County | 52,237 | 9 | $9.5M | Very High |
| Robertson County | 75,539 | 13 | $9.2M | Relatively Moderate |
| Anderson County | 79,153 | 15 | $9.1M | Relatively Moderate |
| Blount County | 139,333 | 12 | $8.9M | Relatively Moderate |
| Marshall County | 36,049 | 11 | $8.9M | Very High |
| Giles County | 30,620 | 11 | $8.8M | Relatively High |
| Coffee County | 59,710 | 14 | $8.8M | Relatively Moderate |
| Haywood County | 17,475 | 7 | $8.6M | Very High |
| Cumberland County | 63,553 | 6 | $8.5M | Relatively Moderate |
| Hardeman County | 25,433 | 12 | $8.4M | Very High |
| Roane County | 55,208 | 14 | $8.4M | Relatively High |
| Dickson County | 55,983 | 15 | $8.0M | Relatively High |
| McNairy County | 25,970 | 12 | $8.0M | Relatively High |
| Franklin County | 43,990 | 19 | $7.4M | Relatively High |
| Warren County | 42,166 | 10 | $7.3M | Relatively High |
| Marion County | 29,250 | 22 | $7.2M | Very High |
| Chester County | 17,611 | 8 | $7.0M | Relatively High |
| Crockett County | 13,944 | 9 | $6.8M | Very High |
| Sequatchie County | 16,809 | 8 | $6.7M | Very High |
| Lincoln County | 35,946 | 8 | $6.5M | Relatively High |
| Cheatham County | 41,829 | 7 | $6.4M | Relatively High |
| Washington County | 136,261 | 13 | $5.8M | Relatively Low |
| Sevier County | 99,652 | 17 | $5.8M | Relatively Moderate |
| Loudon County | 58,580 | 9 | $5.6M | Relatively Moderate |
| McMinn County | 54,884 | 14 | $5.6M | Relatively Moderate |
| Humphreys County | 19,214 | 11 | $5.6M | Very High |
| Hickman County | 25,436 | 4 | $5.4M | Relatively High |
| Lake County | 6,579 | 5 | $5.2M | Very High |
| Benton County | 16,006 | 10 | $5.1M | Relatively High |
| Carter County | 56,712 | 12 | $5.0M | Relatively Moderate |
| Sullivan County | 160,624 | 14 | $4.8M | Relatively Low |
| Wayne County | 16,168 | 9 | $4.4M | Very High |
| Campbell County | 39,761 | 11 | $4.1M | Relatively Moderate |
| Monroe County | 47,695 | 20 | $4.0M | Relatively Moderate |
| Decatur County | 11,579 | 5 | $4.0M | Relatively High |
| Greene County | 71,628 | 19 | $4.0M | Relatively Low |
| White County | 28,160 | 11 | $3.9M | Relatively High |
| Hawkins County | 57,964 | 20 | $3.9M | Relatively Moderate |
| Macon County | 26,240 | 5 | $3.9M | Relatively High |
| Rhea County | 33,992 | 9 | $3.7M | Relatively High |
| Claiborne County | 32,466 | 13 | $3.6M | Relatively Moderate |
| Fentress County | 19,309 | 4 | $3.4M | Relatively High |
| Grundy County | 13,819 | 10 | $3.2M | Relatively High |
| Stewart County | 14,027 | 6 | $3.2M | Relatively High |
| Smith County | 20,389 | 8 | $3.2M | Relatively High |
| Hamblen County | 65,669 | 8 | $3.2M | Relatively Moderate |
| Overton County | 23,065 | 15 | $3.1M | Relatively Low |
| Jefferson County | 56,864 | 16 | $3.0M | Relatively Moderate |
| Lewis County | 12,992 | 3 | $2.9M | Very High |
| Scott County | 22,113 | 9 | $2.8M | Relatively Moderate |
| Morgan County | 21,361 | 12 | $2.8M | Relatively Moderate |
| Bledsoe County | 15,032 | 17 | $2.6M | Relatively High |
| Houston County | 8,353 | 4 | $2.6M | Relatively High |
| Perry County | 8,697 | 8 | $2.5M | Very High |
| Cocke County | 36,813 | 15 | $2.4M | Relatively High |
| DeKalb County | 20,959 | 8 | $2.4M | Relatively High |
| Cannon County | 14,818 | 8 | $2.4M | Relatively High |
| Polk County | 17,898 | 1 | $1.8M | Relatively Moderate |
| Trousdale County | 11,957 | 3 | $1.8M | Relatively High |
| Johnson County | 18,196 | 12 | $1.5M | Relatively High |
| Union County | 20,431 | 7 | $1.5M | Relatively Moderate |
| Grainger County | 24,266 | 8 | $1.4M | Relatively Moderate |
| Jackson County | 12,029 | 10 | $1.4M | Relatively High |
| Meigs County | 13,343 | 9 | $1.4M | Relatively High |
| Moore County | 6,674 | 5 | $1.3M | Relatively High |
| Unicoi County | 17,756 | 10 | $1.2M | Relatively Moderate |
| Van Buren County | 6,437 | 4 | $1.1M | Relatively Moderate |
| Clay County | 7,670 | 8 | $1.1M | Relatively High |
| Pickett County | 5,079 | 6 | $801.9K | Relatively Moderate |
| Hancock County | 6,852 | 8 | $546.8K | Relatively High |
Risk Snapshot
FEMA Disaster Declarations
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